Where the Next Big Data Center Markets Will Be, According to the Digest's Own Data
The Digest's map already shows where the old hubs are running out of room. It flags six regions as constrained: Northern Virginia, where Dominion's interconnection queue has reached 26 GW and new large loads wait two to four years; Phoenix, with 18 to 36 month waits; the Bay Area and Los Angeles; New York and New Jersey; and New England. Demand does not disappear when a hub fills up, so it moves. This article asks where it is moving next, using three things the Digest tracks: power headroom and pipeline size from the map, the policy climate from the Legislation tracker and the map's moratorium layer, and momentum from the more than 600 stories and posts the Digest has published since Aug. 15. The calls below are judgments drawn from that data, not a forecast model.
Start with the backdrop. The map covers 41 markets, six of them primary, with roughly 119 GW of capacity and pipeline listed across them. The Legislation tracker follows 255 bills, and 62 percent are classified as anti-development against 18 percent pro. The moratorium layer shows local restrictions, enacted or proposed, in 27 states, 18 of them already in effect. A separate Digest report on stalled projects cited Goldman Sachs saying only 50 to 60 percent of planned capacity will come online as expected over the next two years. Friction is the normal condition almost everywhere, so the markets most likely to grow are the ones where power is available and the friction is lower, already settled, or still ahead.
One pattern runs through the newest big projects: they sit where power infrastructure already exists or is being built alongside them. Homer City, Pennsylvania, is a former coal plant site where a 4.5 GW gas plant is planned, and AWS filed in October for a 36-building, 1,100-acre campus there. Aligned broke ground in September on a 2 GW campus at Shippingport, Pennsylvania, next to a retired coal plant, with its own on-site power. In Maryland, the Quantum Frederick park is built on a former aluminum smelter site and carries about 2.4 GW of combined planned demand. Crusoe's Goodnight campus in the Texas Panhandle, with Google as the end user, connects directly to an adjacent wind farm. The next hubs look less like the incumbents' dense fiber-and-colocation clusters and more like power sites that gained data centers.
The strongest case is Pennsylvania. The map lists three planned projects there that together exceed 7.7 GW: Homer City at 4.5 GW, Shippingport at 2 GW, and Nebius's Schuylkill County campus at 1.2 GW. Only Texas was mentioned in more Digest stories since Aug. 15 (22 for Pennsylvania against 39 for Texas, by a count of state mentions). The policy picture is mixed: the tracker holds 30 Pennsylvania bills, 8 pro and 21 anti, with every pro bill still in committee, and on Oct. 1 the state House Energy Committee advanced three ratepayer bills, including one that would require developers to pay for the utility upgrades that serve them. The moratorium layer lists Pennsylvania as proposed, not enacted. If the projects deliver, Pennsylvania has the pipeline of a top-tier market; the open question is whether new cost rules slow it.
Next is West and Northwest Texas. The map shows West Texas at about 2.5 GW with the 1.2 GW Stargate campus at Abilene leading, and the Panhandle's Goodnight campus is under construction with about $29 billion of investment expected, more than 1 GW by one estimate. Crusoe has also filed plans for two data centers in Jayton. Texas led all states in Digest coverage, with 24 of its 39 stories tagged to construction, power, AI, market, or investment topics. The risk is executive, not legislative: the tracker has no Texas bills, but on Sept. 21 Gov. Greg Abbott ordered the state's environmental regulator to halt all data center permits until audits of the grid and water board finish, expected in mid-December, and the Digest's report cited BloombergNEF saying the pause threatens up to 20 percent of the national pipeline. Expect Texas to keep growing, with the December audit as the checkpoint.
The third likely rise is the Gulf South. Northeast Louisiana is already shown as a primary market, with Meta's Hyperion campus targeting up to 5 GW and a separate $3.6 billion campus at Boyce, and the map rates its power availability as good. Across the border, DeSoto County, Mississippi, is shown at about 2.5 GW, anchored by xAI's roughly 2 GW campus, with AWS and Compass also committing billions elsewhere in the state. The political signal here is thin rather than favorable: the tracker has one Louisiana bill and none for Mississippi, and the two states drew only four Digest stories between them. The main exposure is permitting, since xAI's gas turbine approval in Mississippi is under legal challenge.
Three states have the pipeline but also the loudest pushback. Michigan's Stargate campus in Saline Township ($16 billion, 1.4 GW) broke ground in June, yet the tracker shows 37 Michigan bills, 22 anti and 8 pro, and Republican senators introduced a package in September for a one-year statewide moratorium, although such bills frequently stall in committee. Ohio's Pike County campus is described as up to 10 GW, but three of the four Ohio bills tracked are anti, the moratorium layer lists Ohio as proposed, and the state Supreme Court recently kept a citizen zoning measure off the Wilmington ballot, showing how contested local rules are becoming. Wisconsin's Port Washington campus (902 MW of IT capacity) sits in a state the map marks as having active moratorium action. These markets will keep building, but likely more slowly than their announced pipelines.
The quieter candidates are where the data shows headroom and little noise. The map rates Wyoming, Iowa, the Pacific Northwest, and the Southwest Power Pool states of Kansas, Nebraska, and Oklahoma as high availability, the best tier. Microsoft closed a land purchase for its Cheyenne campus in June and has framed it as the base for a multi-gigawatt buildout. Indiana lists more than 4 GW planned, including Amazon and Meta commitments of $36.8 billion, yet appeared in only two Digest stories. Kansas has a pro bill awaiting its governor, and Evergy reported advanced talks for 2 to 3.5 GW of new demand. The caution is that Missouri and Nebraska each show three anti bills out of three tracked, and a Digest report found Nebraska's grid under rate pressure. If a surprise market emerges, it is probably in this group.
Two wild cards could go either way. New Mexico's Project Jupiter, a 2.45 GW Stargate campus in Dona Ana County, is stalled on a gas pipeline the state land office rejected, and Oracle sent a force majeure notice on Sept. 24, while Google is exploring a closed-loop, air-cooled campus in Lea County. In Utah, the Stratos project in Box Elder County was approved unanimously by county commissioners and has drawn organized opposition from residents. The incumbents also deserve a caution against writing them off. PG&E told CNBC it has a 12.7 GW pipeline of data center requests even as the map calls California critically constrained, a reminder that constrained does not mean closed.
The limits of this analysis are worth stating. Pipeline gigawatts are announcements, not completed capacity. The tracker finds bills through a keyword search, so states with few tracked bills may simply have little visible legislation, and the absence of Texas bills from the tracker is a gap in what it captures more than a sign of calm. Story counts reflect what the Digest's pipeline published, which was interrupted by two outages in late September and early October, and they include some non-US stories published before the Digest narrowed its scope. The signs to watch are specific: the December ERCOT audit in Texas, whether Pennsylvania's ratepayer bills pass, whether Michigan's moratorium bills leave committee, and the new Jupiter pipeline timeline in New Mexico. The next big markets are probably already visible; the data suggests they will be the ones where power arrives before the politics catches up.
- The Data Center Digest: US Data Center Build Map (markets, power availability, grid constraints, moratorium layer)
- The Data Center Digest: Legislation tracker (255 bills, sentiment and status by state)
- The Data Center Digest: “Opposition, Permits, and Grid Scarcity Stall U.S. Data Center Pipeline”
- The Data Center Digest: “AWS Files Plan for 36-Building, 1,100-Acre Data Center Campus in Pennsylvania”
- The Data Center Digest: “Aligned Data Centers Breaks Ground on 2GW Pennsylvania Campus at Former Coal Site”
- The Data Center Digest: “Pennsylvania House Committee Advances Three Bills to Shield Ratepayers From Data Center Costs”
- The Data Center Digest: “Google Confirmed as End User for Crusoe's Amarillo Campus, With $29 Billion Investment Expected”
- The Data Center Digest: “Crusoe Files Plans for Two Data Centers in Jayton, Texas”
- The Data Center Digest: “Texas Governor Abbott Freezes All TCEQ Data Center Permits Pending ERCOT Audit”
- The Data Center Digest: “Michigan Republican Introduces Three Bills for One-Year Data Center Moratorium”
- The Data Center Digest: “Ohio Supreme Court Blocks Wilmington Data Center Zoning Ballot Measure”
- The Data Center Digest: “Nebraska Grid Faces Rate Pressure as Data Centers and Aging Infrastructure Drive Demand”
- The Data Center Digest: “Oracle Sends Force Majeure Notice to Blue Owl Over New Mexico Pipeline Rejection”
- The Data Center Digest: “Google Explores First Self-Built Data Center in New Mexico's Lea County”
- The Data Center Digest: “Utah Residents Fight Back Against 40,000-Acre Wonder Valley Data Center”
- The Data Center Digest: “PG&E Reports 12.7-Gigawatt Data Center Pipeline Amid Wildfire Liability Concerns”